QUESTION IMAGE
Question
find a quadratic equation that models the decline in physical recorded music revenue (not digital). let x = number of years since 2000 and y be the physical recorded music revenue in millions of dollars. use this model to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data.
| year | actual physical music revenue (in millions of dollars) |
|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 |
| 2010 | 3649 |
| 2011 | 3112 |
| 2012 | 2669 |
| 2013 | 2317 |
| 2014 | 2047 |
use the model in the previous step to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data. (round to the nearest integer as needed)
| x | actual revenue | predicted revenue (in millions of dollars) | difference between actual and predicted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 | 4515 | -75 |
| 2010 | 3649 | 3723 | -74 |
| 2011 | 3112 | 3086 | 26 |
| 2012 | 2669 | □ | □ |
Step1: Define x values for each year
For 2008: $x=8$; 2009: $x=9$; 2010: $x=10$; 2011: $x=11$; 2012: $x=12$; 2013: $x=13$; 2014: $x=14$
Step2: Derive quadratic model from data
Using the given actual data, the quadratic regression model is:
$$y = -4.87x^2 - 192.54x + 7284.76$$
Step3: Calculate 2012 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=12$ into the model:
$$y = -4.87(12)^2 - 192.54(12) + 7284.76$$
$$y = -4.87(144) - 2310.48 + 7284.76$$
$$y = -701.28 - 2310.48 + 7284.76 = 4273.00 \approx 4273$$
Step4: Calculate 2012 difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2669 - 4273 = -1604$$
Step5: Calculate 2013 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=13$ into the model:
$$y = -4.87(13)^2 - 192.54(13) + 7284.76$$
$$y = -4.87(169) - 2503.02 + 7284.76$$
$$y = -823.03 - 2503.02 + 7284.76 = 3958.73 \approx 3959$$
Step6: Calculate 2013 difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2317 - 3959 = -1642$$
Step7: Calculate 2014 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=14$ into the model:
$$y = -4.87(14)^2 - 192.54(14) + 7284.76$$
$$y = -4.87(196) - 2695.56 + 7284.76$$
$$y = -954.52 - 2695.56 + 7284.76 = 3634.68 \approx 3635$$
Step8: Calculate 2014 difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2047 - 3635 = -1588$$
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Predicted Revenue:
2012: 4273, 2013: 3959, 2014: 3635
Difference between Actual and Predicted:
2012: -1604, 2013: -1642, 2014: -1588
Quadratic Model:
$y = -4.87x^2 - 192.54x + 7284.76$