QUESTION IMAGE
Question
regina used her past health history and information about her doctor visits to create this table to compare health costs with and without insurance
| description of service | probability of needing the service | cost with insurance plan | cost without insurance plan |
|---|---|---|---|
| four doctor visits | 24% | $100 | $1,400 |
| medication | 12% | $40 | $240 |
what is the expected value of each option?
the expected value of health care without insurance is $
the expected value of health care with insurance is $
Step1: Calculate expected cost without insurance
The annual premium is $0$ (probability 100%). For four - doctor visits, the expected cost is $0.24\times1400 = 336$. For medication, the expected cost is $0.12\times240=28.8$. The total expected cost without insurance is $0 + 336+28.8$.
Step2: Calculate sum for no - insurance
$0+336 + 28.8=364.8$
Step3: Calculate expected cost with insurance
The annual premium is $1580$ (probability 100%). For four - doctor visits, the expected cost is $0.24\times100 = 24$. For medication, the expected cost is $0.12\times40 = 4.8$. The total expected cost with insurance is $1580+24 + 4.8$.
Step4: Calculate sum for insurance
$1580+24+4.8 = 1608.8$
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The expected value of health care without insurance is $\$364.8$
The expected value of health care with insurance is $\$1608.8$