Question

which of these is not a flaw in commonsense thinking?
○ hindsight bias
○ overconfidence
○ perceiving patterns in random events
○ predictive bias

Explanation:

Hindsight bias (thinking an event was predictable after it occurred), overconfidence (excessive confidence in one's judgments), and perceiving patterns in random events (seeing order where there is none) are recognized flaws in commonsense thinking. "Predictive bias" is not a standardly recognized flaw in commonsense thinking in the context of typical psychological/commonsense thinking flaws (the other three are well - known biases affecting commonsense reasoning).

Answer:

D. predictive bias