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Question
an airline gathers data on late departures and early arrivals over a month. it finds that the probability of a late departure is 12 percent, the probability of an early arrival is 27 percent, and the probability of both a late departure and an early arrival is 4 percent. which equation shows how to correctly calculate the probability of a late departure or an early arrival?
p(late departure or early arrival) = 0.12 + 0.04
p(late departure or early arrival) = 0.12 + 0.27
p(late departure or early arrival) = 0.12 + 0.27 - 0.04
p(late departure or early arrival) = 0.27 + 0.04 - 0.12
Step1: Recall probability formula
For two events $A$ and $B$, $P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$. Let $A$ be the event of late - departure and $B$ be the event of early - arrival.
Step2: Identify given probabilities
We are given $P(A) = 0.12$, $P(B)=0.27$, and $P(A\cap B)=0.04$.
Step3: Calculate $P(A\cup B)$
Substitute the values into the formula: $P(A\cup B)=0.12 + 0.27-0.04$.
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$P(\text{late departure or early arrival}) = 0.12 + 0.27-0.04$