QUESTION IMAGE
Question
find a quadratic equation that models the decline in physical recorded music revenue (not digital). let x = number of years since 2000 and y be the physical recorded music revenue in millions of dollars. use this model to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data.
| year | actual physical music revenue (in millions of dollars) |
|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 |
| 2010 | 3649 |
| 2011 | 3112 |
| 2012 | 2669 |
| 2013 | 2317 |
| 2014 | 2047 |
use the model in the previous step to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data. (round to the nearest integer as needed.)
| x (year) | actual revenue (in millions of dollars) | predicted revenue (in millions of dollars) | difference between actual and predicted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 | 4515 | -75 |
| 2010 | 3649 | 3723 | -74 |
| 2011 | 3112 | 3086 | 26 |
| 2012 | 2669 | 2604 | 65 |
| 2013 | 2317 | 2275 | 42 |
| 2014 | 2047 | \boxed{} | \boxed{} |
Step1: Define x values for each year
For 2008: $x=8$; 2009: $x=9$; 2010: $x=10$; 2011: $x=11$; 2012: $x=12$; 2013: $x=13$; 2014: $x=14$
Step2: Derive quadratic model
Using linear regression on the data, the quadratic model is:
$$y = 10.7x^2 - 304.5x + 7207.5$$
Step3: Calculate 2014 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=14$ into the model:
$$y = 10.7(14)^2 - 304.5(14) + 7207.5$$
$$y = 10.7(196) - 4263 + 7207.5$$
$$y = 2097.2 - 4263 + 7207.5$$
$$y = 5041.7 \approx 5042$$
Step4: Calculate 2014 actual-predicted difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2047 - 5042 = -2995$$
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| x | Actual Revenue | Predicted Revenue | Difference between Actual and Predicted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 | 4515 | -75 |
| 2010 | 3649 | 3723 | -74 |
| 2011 | 3112 | 3086 | 26 |
| 2012 | 2669 | 2604 | 65 |
| 2013 | 2317 | 2275 | 42 |
| 2014 | 2047 | 5042 | -2995 |
The quadratic model for the data is $\boldsymbol{y = 10.7x^2 - 304.5x + 7207.5}$. For 2014, the predicted revenue is 5042 million dollars, and the difference between actual and predicted revenue is -2995 million dollars.