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Question
question 25
ahmad buys a bag of cookies that contains 6 chocolate - chip cookies, 4 peanut - butter cookies, 4 sugar cookies and 5 oatmeal cookies. what is the probability that ahmad randomly selects a chocolate - chip cookie from the bag, eats it, then randomly selects an oatmeal cookie?
probability = (round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
Step1: Calculate total number of cookies initially
The total number of cookies in the bag initially is $6 + 4+5=15$ cookies.
Step2: Calculate probability of first - selecting a chocolate - chip cookie
The probability of randomly selecting a chocolate - chip cookie first is $P(\text{chocolate chip})=\frac{6}{15}$.
Step3: Calculate number of cookies left after first selection
After eating the chocolate - chip cookie, the number of cookies left in the bag is $15 - 1=14$ cookies.
Step4: Calculate probability of second - selecting an oatmeal cookie
The probability of randomly selecting an oatmeal cookie second, given that a chocolate - chip cookie was selected first, is $P(\text{oatmeal}|\text{chocolate chip})=\frac{5}{14}$.
Step5: Calculate the joint probability
By the multiplication rule for conditional probability $P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B|A)$, the probability of selecting a chocolate - chip cookie first and then an oatmeal cookie is $P=\frac{6}{15}\times\frac{5}{14}=\frac{30}{210}\approx0.1429$.
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$0.1429$