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Question
a bag of marbles contains 8 blue marbles, 6 red marbles, and 4 green marbles. find the probability of each event if you choose marbles without looking in the bag.
- p(green)
- p(red)
- p(blue)
- you pick a marble, replace it, and then pick another. find p(blue, blue).
- you pick a marble, replace it, and then pick another. find p(red, green).
- you pick a marble, do not replace it, and then pick another. find p(blue, blue).
- you pick a marble, do not replace it, and then pick another. find p(red, green).
- you pick a marble, do not replace it, and then pick another. find p(green, green).
Step1: Calculate total number of marbles
The total number of marbles is \(8 + 6+4=18\).
Step2: Calculate \(P(\text{green})\) (r22)
The probability of picking a green marble is the number of green marbles divided by the total number of marbles. So \(P(\text{green})=\frac{4}{18}=\frac{2}{9}\).
Step3: Calculate \(P(\text{red})\) (r23)
The probability of picking a red marble is the number of red marbles divided by the total number of marbles. So \(P(\text{red})=\frac{6}{18}=\frac{1}{3}\).
Step4: Calculate \(P(\text{blue})\) (r24)
The probability of picking a blue marble is the number of blue marbles divided by the total number of marbles. So \(P(\text{blue})=\frac{8}{18}=\frac{4}{9}\).
Step5: Calculate \(P(\text{blue, blue})\) with replacement (r25)
Since the events are independent when we replace the marble, \(P(\text{blue, blue})=P(\text{blue})\times P(\text{blue})=\frac{4}{9}\times\frac{4}{9}=\frac{16}{81}\).
Step6: Calculate \(P(\text{red, green})\) with replacement (r26)
Since the events are independent when we replace the marble, \(P(\text{red, green})=P(\text{red})\times P(\text{green})=\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{2}{9}=\frac{2}{27}\).
Step7: Calculate \(P(\text{blue, blue})\) without replacement (r27)
The probability of the first - blue is \(\frac{8}{18}\), and the probability of the second - blue (without replacement) is \(\frac{7}{17}\). So \(P(\text{blue, blue})=\frac{8}{18}\times\frac{7}{17}=\frac{28}{153}\).
Step8: Calculate \(P(\text{red, green})\) without replacement (r28)
The probability of the first - red is \(\frac{6}{18}\), and the probability of the second - green (without replacement) is \(\frac{4}{17}\). So \(P(\text{red, green})=\frac{6}{18}\times\frac{4}{17}=\frac{4}{51}\).
Step9: Calculate \(P(\text{green, green})\) without replacement (r29)
The probability of the first - green is \(\frac{4}{18}\), and the probability of the second - green (without replacement) is \(\frac{3}{17}\). So \(P(\text{green, green})=\frac{4}{18}\times\frac{3}{17}=\frac{2}{51}\).
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r22. \(\frac{2}{9}\)
r23. \(\frac{1}{3}\)
r24. \(\frac{4}{9}\)
r25. \(\frac{16}{81}\)
r26. \(\frac{2}{27}\)
r27. \(\frac{28}{153}\)
r28. \(\frac{4}{51}\)
r29. \(\frac{2}{51}\)