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Question
flip the coin below. suppose that you win a prize if it comes up heads. head or tail? what is p, the probability of success? what is 1 - p, the probability of failure?
Step1: Define success
Success is getting heads. A fair - coin has 2 equally likely outcomes (heads and tails).
Step2: Calculate probability of success
The probability formula is $P(A)=\frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}$. For getting heads on a coin - flip, the number of favorable outcomes is 1 and the total number of outcomes is 2. So, $p=\frac{1}{2}=0.5$.
Step3: Calculate probability of failure
The probability of failure is $1 - p$. Substitute $p = 0.5$ into the formula, we get $1 - 0.5=0.5$.
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$p = 0.5$
$1 - p=0.5$