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Question
the table gives a set of outcomes and their probabilities. let a be the event \the outcome is less than 3\. let b be the event \the outcome is prime\. find p(a|b). outcome probability 1 0.5 2 0.4 3 0.1
Step1: Define event A and B
Event A: outcome < 3, so A = {1, 2}; Event B: outcome is prime, so B = {2, 3}. Then A ∩ B={2}.
Step2: Calculate P(A ∩ B)
The probability of outcome 2 is 0.4, so P(A ∩ B)=0.4.
Step3: Calculate P(B)
P(B)=P(2)+P(3)=0.4 + 0.1=0.5.
Step4: Use conditional - probability formula
The formula for conditional probability is P(A|B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}. Substitute P(A ∩ B) = 0.4 and P(B)=0.5 into the formula.
P(A|B)=\frac{0.4}{0.5}=0.8
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0.8