Question

which event is least likely to occur?
answer attempt 1 out of 3
rolling a number less than 4 on a eight-sided die, numbered from 1 to 8.
spinning a spinner divided into four equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue and landing on red or yellow or green or blue.
winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets, if you buy 74 tickets.
reaching into a bag full of 7 strawberry chews and 73 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.
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Explanation:

Step1: Calculate die roll probability

Numbers less than 4: 1,2,3. Probability: $\frac{3}{8} = 0.375$

Step2: Calculate spinner probability

Covers all sections, so probability: $\frac{4}{4} = 1$

Step3: Calculate raffle win probability

Win chance = $\frac{74}{100} = 0.74$

Step4: Calculate chew draw probability

Total chews: $7+73=80$. Probability: $\frac{7}{80} = 0.0875$

Step5: Compare all probabilities

Order: $0.0875 < 0.375 < 0.74 < 1$

Answer:

Reaching into a bag full of 7 strawberry chews and 73 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.