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Question
- the forecast predicts a 40% chance of rain on tuesday and a 60% chance on wednesday. if these probabilities are independent, what is the chance that it will rain on both days?
Step1: Recall the formula for independent events
For two independent events \( A \) and \( B \), the probability of both occurring is \( P(A \cap B)=P(A)\times P(B) \). Let \( A \) be the event of rain on Tuesday and \( B \) be the event of rain on Wednesday.
Step2: Convert percentages to decimals
The probability of rain on Tuesday \( P(A) = 40\%=0.4 \), and the probability of rain on Wednesday \( P(B)=60\% = 0.6 \).
Step3: Calculate the probability of rain on both days
Using the formula for independent events, \( P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B)=0.4\times0.6 = 0.24 \). To convert this back to a percentage, we multiply by 100, so \( 0.24\times100 = 24\% \).
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The chance that it will rain on both days is \( 24\% \) (or \( 0.24 \) in decimal form).