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Question
question 22 of 39 > that beak heat loss is higher at higher temperatures and that the relationship is roughly linear. note: the numerical values in this problem have been modified for testing purposes. use the equation of the least - squares regression line to predict beak heat loss, as a percentage of total body heat loss from all sources, at a temperature of 25°c. give your answer to one decimal place.
| temperature (°c) | percent heat loss from beak |
|---|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| 17 | 36 |
| 18 | 33 |
| 19 | 35 |
| 20 | 47 |
| 21 | 57 |
| 22 | 51 |
| 23 | 42 |
| 24 | 53 |
| 25 | 46 |
| 26 | 52 |
| 27 | 59 |
| 28 | 59 |
| 29 | 63 |
| 30 | 63 |
Step1: Calculate means
Let \(x\) be temperature and \(y\) be percent heat loss from beak.
\(\bar{x}=\frac{15 + 16+\cdots+30}{16}=\frac{360}{16}=22.5\)
\(\bar{y}=\frac{32 + 36+\cdots+63}{16}=\frac{726}{16}=45.375\)
Step2: Calculate slope \(b_1\)
\(S_{xx}=\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_i-\bar{x})^2=(15 - 22.5)^2+(16 - 22.5)^2+\cdots+(30 - 22.5)^2 = 140\)
\(S_{xy}=\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_i-\bar{x})(y_i-\bar{y})=(15 - 22.5)(32 - 45.375)+(16 - 22.5)(36 - 45.375)+\cdots+(30 - 22.5)(63 - 45.375)=288\)
\(b_1=\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}}=\frac{288}{140}\approx2.057\)
Step3: Calculate intercept \(b_0\)
\(b_0=\bar{y}-b_1\bar{x}=45.375-2.057\times22.5\)
\(b_0=45.375 - 46.2825=- 0.9075\)
The regression - line equation is \(\hat{y}=b_0 + b_1x=-0.9075+2.057x\)
Step4: Predict at \(x = 25\)
\(\hat{y}=-0.9075+2.057\times25\)
\(\hat{y}=-0.9075 + 51.425=50.5175\approx50.5\)
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50.5