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Question
question 7
1 pts
in a bag, there are two types of candy bars: snickers and twix. two items are chosen at random from the bag, without replacement. the probability of selecting a snickers on the first draw is 71%. the probability of selecting a snickers and then a twix is 47%. what is the probability selecting a twix on the second draw, given that the first was a snickers? (write your answer as a percentage rounded to 1 decimal)
Step1: Recall conditional - probability formula
Let $A$ be the event of selecting a Snickers on the first draw and $B$ be the event of selecting a Twix on the second draw. The formula for conditional probability is $P(B|A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}$.
Step2: Identify given probabilities
We are given that $P(A) = 0.71$ (probability of selecting a Snickers on the first draw) and $P(A\cap B)=0.47$ (probability of selecting a Snickers and then a Twix).
Step3: Calculate the conditional probability
Substitute the given values into the formula: $P(B|A)=\frac{0.47}{0.71}\approx0.662$.
Step4: Convert to percentage and round
Multiply by 100 to get a percentage: $0.662\times100 = 66.2\%$.
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$66.2\%$