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Question
a study was conducted to determine whether there were significant differences between college students admitted through special programs (such as retention incentive and guaranteed placement programs) and college students admitted through the regular admissions criteria. it was found that the graduation rate was 92.3% for the college students admitted through special programs. round answers to 4 decimal places. if 11 of the students from the special programs are randomly selected, find the probability that at least 10 of them graduated. prob = 0.3222 × if 11 of the students from the special programs are randomly selected, find the probability that exactly 8 of them graduated. prob = 0.2128 × would it be unusual to randomly select 11 students from the special programs and get exactly 8 that graduate? no, it is not unusual yes, it is unusual if 11 of the students from the special programs are randomly selected, find the probability that at most 8 of them graduated. prob = 0.3826 i × enter an integer or decimal number more... would it be unusual to randomly select 11 students from the special programs and get at most 8 that graduate? no, it is not unusual yes, it is unusual
Step1: Identify the binomial probability formula
The binomial probability formula is $P(X = k)=C(n,k)\times p^{k}\times(1 - p)^{n - k}$, where $n$ is the number of trials, $k$ is the number of successes, $p$ is the probability of success on a single - trial, and $C(n,k)=\frac{n!}{k!(n - k)!}$. Here, $n = 11$ and $p=0.923$.
Step2: Probability that at least 10 graduated
$P(X\geq10)=P(X = 10)+P(X = 11)$.
$C(11,10)=\frac{11!}{10!(11 - 10)!}=\frac{11!}{10!1!}=11$, $P(X = 10)=C(11,10)\times(0.923)^{10}\times(1 - 0.923)^{11 - 10}=11\times(0.923)^{10}\times0.077\approx11\times0.4889\times0.077\approx0.4147$.
$C(11,11)=\frac{11!}{11!(11 - 11)!}=1$, $P(X = 11)=C(11,11)\times(0.923)^{11}\times(1 - 0.923)^{11 - 11}=(0.923)^{11}\approx0.4087$.
$P(X\geq10)=0.4147 + 0.4087=0.8234$.
Step3: Probability that exactly 8 graduated
$C(11,8)=\frac{11!}{8!(11 - 8)!}=\frac{11\times10\times9}{3\times2\times1}=165$.
$P(X = 8)=C(11,8)\times(0.923)^{8}\times(1 - 0.923)^{11 - 8}=165\times(0.923)^{8}\times(0.077)^{3}\approx165\times0.5377\times0.000457\approx0.0407$.
Step4: Determine if getting exactly 8 is unusual
A probability is considered unusual if it is less than 0.05. Since $P(X = 8)\approx0.0407<0.05$, it is unusual.
Step5: Probability that at most 8 graduated
$P(X\leq8)=1 - P(X\geq9)=1-(P(X = 9)+P(X = 10)+P(X = 11))$.
$C(11,9)=\frac{11!}{9!(11 - 9)!}=\frac{11\times10}{2\times1}=55$.
$P(X = 9)=C(11,9)\times(0.923)^{9}\times(1 - 0.923)^{11 - 9}=55\times(0.923)^{9}\times(0.077)^{2}\approx55\times0.4967\times0.00593\approx0.1639$.
$P(X\geq9)=P(X = 9)+P(X = 10)+P(X = 11)\approx0.1639+0.4147 + 0.4087=0.9873$.
$P(X\leq8)=1 - 0.9873=0.0127$.
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- Probability that at least 10 graduated: $0.8234$
- Probability that exactly 8 graduated: $0.0407$
- Is it unusual to get exactly 8? yes, it is unusual
- Probability that at most 8 graduated: $0.0127$
- Is it unusual to get at most 8? yes, it is unusual