Question

question
which event is least likely to occur?
answer
rolling an even number on a twelve-sided die, numbered from 1 to 12.
spinning a spinner divided into four equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue and landing on red or yellow.
winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets, if you buy 14 tickets.
reaching into a bag full of 31 strawberry chews and 49 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.

Explanation:

Step1: Calculate die probability

Even numbers on 1-12: 6 values. Probability: $\frac{6}{12} = 0.5$

Step2: Calculate spinner probability

2 favorable sections out of 4. Probability: $\frac{2}{4} = 0.5$

Step3: Calculate raffle winning probability

14 tickets out of 100. Probability: $\frac{14}{100} = 0.14$

Step4: Calculate chew draw probability

31 strawberry chews out of $31+49=80$ total. Probability: $\frac{31}{80} = 0.3875$

Step5: Compare all probabilities

Order: $0.14 < 0.3875 < 0.5 = 0.5$

Answer:

Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets, if you buy 14 tickets.