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select the correct answer. a survey was given to randomly selected empl…

Question

select the correct answer.
a survey was given to randomly selected employees who drive to work. each employee was asked to report if they had received a speeding ticket on their morning commute to work any time in the last year. the results are in the table.

speeding ticketno speeding tickettotal
regularly leave for work late56965
total6190151

which conclusion can be made from the data?
a. employees who regularly leave for work late are less likely to receive a speeding ticket than employees who regularly leave for work early or on time.
b. regularly leaving for work late and receiving a speeding ticket are independent events.
c. the probability of an employee receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work late is the same as the probability of an employee not receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work early or on time
d. the probability of an employee receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work early or on time is less than the probability of an employee not receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work late.

Explanation:

Brief Explanations

To solve this, we calculate conditional probabilities for each option:

  • Option A: Probability of speeding ticket for late leavers: \( \frac{56}{65} \approx 0.8615 \). For early/on - time leavers: \( \frac{5}{86} \approx 0.0581 \). So late leavers are more likely, A is wrong.
  • Option B: Let \( A \) be "leave late" and \( B \) be "speeding ticket". \( P(A)=\frac{65}{151}\), \( P(B)=\frac{61}{151}\), \( P(A\cap B)=\frac{56}{151}\). \( P(A)\times P(B)=\frac{65\times61}{151\times151}\approx\frac{3965}{22801}\approx0.174\), \( P(A\cap B)\approx0.371\). Not equal, so not independent, B is wrong.
  • Option C: Probability of speeding ticket (late): \( \frac{56}{65}\approx0.8615 \). Probability of no - speeding (early/on - time): \( \frac{81}{86}\approx0.9419 \). Not the same, C is wrong.
  • Option D: Probability of speeding (early/on - time): \( \frac{5}{86}\approx0.0581 \). Probability of no - speeding (late): \( \frac{9}{65}\approx0.1385 \). \( 0.0581<0.1385 \), so this is true.

Answer:

D. The probability of an employee receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work early or on time is less than the probability of an employee not receiving a speeding ticket given that they regularly leave for work late.