QUESTION IMAGE
Question
the value of a bicycle was recorded over a period of five years. based on how the plot of the residuals might look, would a linear function that passes through (0,250) and (4,25) be a good fit for the data shown? chart: bicycle prices, x-axis labeled age of bicycle (in years), y-axis labeled value of bicycle (in dollars), with data points at (0,250), (1, ~125), (2, ~75), (3, ~30), (4, ~25) options: 1. yes, the residuals would be randomly distributed. 2. no, the residuals would tend to be one-sided. 3. no, the residuals would be randomly distributed. 4. yes, the residuals would tend to be one-sided.
- First, recall the concept of residuals in linear regression: Residuals are the differences between the observed values and the predicted values from the linear model. A good - fitting linear model should have residuals that are randomly distributed around zero (no pattern, some positive and some negative, and random in terms of magnitude and sign).
- Analyze the given linear function: The linear function passes through \((0,250)\) and \((4,25)\). The slope \(m=\frac{25 - 250}{4-0}=\frac{- 225}{4}=- 56.25\). The equation of the line is \(y=-56.25x + 250\).
- Now, look at the scatter - plot of the bicycle prices. The observed data points (the dots in the plot) are all below the line we just found (except maybe the first point at \(x = 0\)). This means that the predicted values from the linear model are greater than the observed values for most of the data points. So the residuals (observed - predicted) will be negative for most of the points (since observed < predicted). In other words, the residuals will tend to be one - sided (mostly negative in this case). A good - fitting linear model should have residuals that are randomly distributed (both positive and negative, with no consistent bias). Since the residuals here are one - sided, the linear function is not a good fit.
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B. No, the residuals would tend to be one - sided.